Tuesday, February 28
Advice From the Frog
Advice From the Frog's Advisor
However, let me throw this out for you to ponder... what if you were not allowed to see the Frog's advice because someone who had more power than you, did not want you to be able to see it... If that happened, then you would never be able to follow or not follow that advice.
Believe it or not, this is exactly what happens in some countries... For example, China does not allow FACEBOOK to be on the internet in their country. The movies that come into China have to be changed so that nothing is said that the Chinese government does not want its people to hear or see. Hollywood accepts these restrictions because of all the revenue that the Chinese market brings in.
What if the USA no longer allowed Advice From the Frog to be published on Blogger's blogs... that censorship goes against our freedoms but unless you say something, then censorship could take place in this country.
So, my advice about the Frog's advice is to make sure that you are always able to see the Frog's advice and decide for yourself if you want to follow it or not...
This sad thing is that I should not ever have to offer this advice... not in this country... so, why am I?
This country is changing and only YOU can stop it...
China's Dominance in EV Batteries
Despite efforts from the United States and Europe to increase the domestic production of batteries, the market is still dominated by Asian suppliers.
The top 10 producers are all Asian companies.
Currently, Chinese companies make up 56% of the EV battery market, followed by Korean companies (26%) and Japanese manufacturers (10%).
The leading battery supplier, CATL, expanded its market share from 32% in 2021 to 34% in 2022. One-third of the world’s EV batteries come from the Chinese company. CATL provides lithium-ion batteries to Tesla, Peugeot, Hyundai, Honda, BMW, Toyota, Volkswagen, and Volvo.
Despite facing strict scrutiny after EV battery-fire recalls in the United States, LG Energy Solution remains the second-biggest battery manufacturer. In 2021, the South Korean supplier agreed to reimburse General Motors $1.9 billion to cover the 143,000 Chevy Bolt EVs recalled due to fire risks from faulty batteries.
BYD took the third spot from Panasonic as it nearly doubled its market share over the last year. The Warren Buffett-backed company is the world’s third-largest automaker by market cap, but it also produces batteries sold in markets around the world. Recent sales figures point to BYD overtaking LG Energy Solution in market share the coming months or years.
The Age of Battery Power
Electric vehicles are here to stay, while internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles are set to fade away in the coming decades. Recently, General Motors announced that it aims to stop selling ICE vehicles by 2035, while Audi plans to stop producing such models by 2033.
Besides EVs, battery technology is essential for the energy transition, providing storage capacity for intermittent solar and wind generation.
As battery makers work to supply the EV transition’s increasing demand and improve energy density in their products, we can expect more interesting developments within this industry. READ MORE...
How to Think - VERSUS - What to Think
That may seem like a silly statement because people think all the time.
- Do I need to eat?
- Do I need to sleep?
- Do I need to work?
- Should I take a shit now or later?
- How much alcohol should I drink tonight?
Autonomous Vehicles 2023
The past decade has seen a wave of progression and regression in autonomous driving. Automakers have continued to prioritize R&D, yet progress remains incremental and not at a pace where Level 4 autonomy is near mass deployment.
Deployment of fully autonomous vehicles hasn’t progressed as quickly as we’d hoped, though incremental algorithm development has made advanced driver-assistance system technology and other subsystems safer in the progressive march to autonomy.
Last year saw a few major milestones in autonomous driving, including General Motors and Trimble logging 34 million miles (54.7 million km) of successful hands-free driving and Mobileye’s spin-out from Intel which raised $861 million during the IPO. So, interest and progress in the industry persist.
As we begin 2023, we remain hopeful for more solid advancements in the self-driving world.
Until now, the industry at large has used an ADAS approach, providing semi-autonomous driving via cameras and lidar sensors. While it’s cost-effective to use only cameras and basic sensors, a more robust and safer option encompasses more sensors. This is where the future lies, but the cost for mass deployment of these sensors is not currently where it needs to be to make mass-market adoption achievable.
So, the question remains: How do we develop a mass market approach to full autonomy at a price point similar to what we have today – or even less expensive? The answer lies in moving past sensor technology and learning to apply better algorithms that can spot pedestrians, see lane markers, account for bad weather, automatically update in real-time and have overall better perception through new techniques coming to market.
In current ADAS technology, if your car sensor gets muddied by road grime or weather conditions, it isn’t functional, and the driver is forced to take over control of the vehicle. General Motors’ Super Cruise is a good example. It’s an assistance mechanism that provides some level of autonomy and is affordable, but comprehensive maps would make it more robust and closer to full autonomy. Keeping maps accurate in current semi-autonomous vehicles is a laborious process, including specialized vehicles that gather, relay and download information, followed by humans who declutter and clean up the maps before they can be useful and downloaded into a vehicle. By the time this all happens, the maps easily could be outdated.
To achieve full autonomy, the promise of mass-deployable, solid-state sensors in a true fused array needs to be realized, which is tough when operating in complex environments and all weather conditions. In addition, real-time driving condition and map updating is critical in serving as a continuous feedback process that is enabled by 5G knowing exactly where a vehicle is relative to others and the road.
In 2023, the industry must overcome two principal challenges if autonomy is to move to the next level. First, we need precise absolute positioning in all current GNSS-denied or -obscured environments, no matter the weather or road condition. Precise absolute positioning is defined as lane-level (10 cm [4 in.]) precision. Achieving that in all facets of a typical drive from freeway to downtown corridor and underground is essential.
Adding to this requirement is the need for Automotive Safety Integrity Level (ASIL) certification of the software, hardware, correction source and integrity of the management. With all ASIL-certified parts, OEMs will feel more confident the solutions can be used for mass production.
Second, to make these maps more accurate, crowdsourcing — using passenger or shared mobility vehicles, not vehicles dedicated solely for mapping – is crucial. Maps are only as good as they are current, so a continuous stream of data from road vehicles that regularly drive the same path is critical to keeping maps current and providing complete situational awareness of a vehicle. Techniques such as map-based localization are paramount to that process and fusing sensor data to help derive a correct position. By taking the GPS positions of a vehicle and using visual cues to understand where the vehicle is based on the odometer, map-based locations can perceive what is around the vehicle. READ MORE...
Monday, February 27
Deep Learnng of Machines
Deep learning is a machine learning technique that teaches computers to do what comes naturally to humans: learn by example. Deep learning is a key technology behind driverless cars, enabling them to recognize a stop sign, or to distinguish a pedestrian from a lamppost. It is the key to voice control in consumer devices like phones, tablets, TVs, and hands-free speakers. Deep learning is getting lots of attention lately and for good reason. It’s achieving results that were not possible before.
In deep learning, a computer model learns to perform classification tasks directly from images, text, or sound. Deep learning models can achieve state-of-the-art accuracy, sometimes exceeding human-level performance. Models are trained by using a large set of labeled data and neural network architectures that contain many layers.
How does deep learning attain such impressive results?
In a word, accuracy. Deep learning achieves recognition accuracy at higher levels than ever before. This helps consumer electronics meet user expectations, and it is crucial for safety-critical applications like driverless cars. Recent advances in deep learning have improved to the point where deep learning outperforms humans in some tasks like classifying objects in images.
While deep learning was first theorized in the 1980s, there are two main reasons it has only recently become useful:Deep learning requires large amounts of labeled data. For example, driverless car development requires millions of images and thousands of hours of video.
Deep learning requires substantial computing power. High-performance GPUs have a parallel architecture that is efficient for deep learning. When combined with clusters or cloud computing, this enables development teams to reduce training time for a deep learning network from weeks to hours or less.
Examples of Deep Learning at Work
Deep learning applications are used in industries from automated driving to medical devices.
Automated Driving: Automotive researchers are using deep learning to automatically detect objects such as stop signs and traffic lights. In addition, deep learning is used to detect pedestrians, which helps decrease accidents.
Aerospace and Defense: Deep learning is used to identify objects from satellites that locate areas of interest, and identify safe or unsafe zones for troops.
Medical Research: Cancer researchers are using deep learning to automatically detect cancer cells. Teams at UCLA built an advanced microscope that yields a high-dimensional data set used to train a deep learning application to accurately identify cancer cells.
Industrial Automation: Deep learning is helping to improve worker safety around heavy machinery by automatically detecting when people or objects are within an unsafe distance of machines.
Electronics: Deep learning is being used in automated hearing and speech translation. For example, home assistance devices that respond to your voice and know your preferences are powered by deep learning applications. READ MORE...
At 75 Years of Age, What Have I Learned?
My first thought is that I have forgotten more than I remember which is probably not a good thing to admit but it is true. A lot of knowledge I learned that I never used... and, this goes back to high school where the courses were designed specifically for those students who wanted to go to college but not for those students who just wanted to get a job or learn a trade.
College was similar, especially my first two years where I have to take all these general education courses like history, science, math, religion, art, the humanities, etc. I don't recall any time during my career where I used any of this information...
And, sadly enough, this also includes a majority of the course I took in grad school. We had to pass 60 hours of classes whereas today that requirement for the same degree is 30 hours...
So, the main thing here that I learned is that I did not need to learn all that I needed to learn in order to have a 45+ year career... ALTHOUGH, if I did not learn what I did not need to learn, I would not have had the career that I had...
And, while that seems somewhat upside down to me and perhaps to you, it is the way our education system is currently designed...
What is A Psychopath?
Psychopathy is a neuropsychiatric disorder marked by deficient emotional responses, lack of empathy, and poor behavioral controls, commonly resulting in persistent antisocial deviance and criminal behavior.
Instead, psychopathy is characterised by an extreme lack of empathy. Psychopaths may also be manipulative, charming and exploitative, and behave in an impulsive and risky manner. They may lack conscience or guilt, and refuse to accept responsibility for their actions.
- behavior that conflicts with social norms.
- disregarding or violating the rights of others.
- inability to distinguish between right and wrong.
- difficulty with showing remorse or empathy.
- tendency to lie often.
- manipulating and hurting others.
- recurring problems with the law.
Showing sympathy for them plays into their hand, so keep discussions centered on facts only. Pointing out a psychopath's flaws can be the best way to disarm them. So when a psychopath blames someone else, turn the conversation back on them. Say something like, "Are you doing OK today?
Someone with this kind of personality disorder typically experiences four (4) or more of the following symptoms: failure to conform to social norms; deceitfulness; impulsivity; irritability and aggressiveness; a reckless disregard for other people's safety; consistent irresponsibility; and a lack of remorse.
Sunday, February 26
Advice From the Frog's Advisor
The Age of Miracles
All around me ever since I was a small boy, I remember hearing people say that God is working miracle everday...
They point to a person who survived a plane crash, train crash, or car crash.
They point to people against all odds surviving a medical procedure, or survived being in the desert or out at sea.
I have hears all sorts of Hollywood actors and Professional Athletes thank God for giving them their powers and abilities... as if they had nothing to do with it at all.
Are these miracles or simply coincidencs... and, the first comment you hear when that is spoken is "I don't believe in coincidences." Of course, that doesn't mean they don't happen.
But what is a miracle?
According to our online dictionary, a miracle is...
a surprising and welcome event that is not explicable by natural or scientific laws and is therefore considered to be the work of a divine agency.
Based upon that definition, you must decide if it is a coincidence or the work of a divine being...
For me, my miracles, if there are any, would not be individual in nature, but collective, in that they would target a group of people or perhaps an entire world... These might include:
- An end to all global wars
- An end to all disease and suffering
- An end to infant mortality
- An end to all power and greed
- An end to killing
- A world where all people live in harmony
These are miracles... but, I doubt any of these miracles will ever happen, especially since our DIVINE ENTITY does not appear to want them to happen...
Saturday, February 25
CONVERSATIONS...
Advice From the Frog
The Republican Party is Not The Solution
What I can say is that it was after President Jimmy Carter. But, by the time that Donald Trump became President, it was clear that the Democrats controlled political power outside of Congress. And, when Biden became President they began flexing their financial powers to the extent that they have put this county into a financial crisis that has yet to fully reveal itself.
The Republicans have learned TO BITCH TO THE CAMERAS... but as far as any actions as concerned, they are POWERLESS and IMPOTENT... no matter now many hearings they hold now that they control the House.
HEARINGS DON'T DO SHIT EXCEPT SHOW THEY ARE POWERLESS WHEN IT COMES TO ACTIONS...
Electric Vehicles are in our future but right now they are premature given our other problems such as:
- The National Debt
- Our failing Infrastructure
- Our Weak Military
- Our failing education system
- The censorship of opposing views
- Our divided country
- The growth of our enemies
- The claim of white supremacy
- The race to outer space
- The growth of AI/Robots
Future of Internet
On October 29, 1969, a message was sent from a rather nondescript room at UCLA in Southern California to a Stanford Research Institute computer console in Menlo Park, California. It read simply “Lo,” though it was supposed to say “Login.” The system crashed before completing the task. This was the world’s first message sent via an interconnected computer network known as ARPANET. On this unassuming fall day, the modern internet as we now know it was conceived.
In the five decades since, the internet has transformed human existence. From how we wage war to how we make each other laugh, it's unfathomable how much the internet has shaped life in that short amount of time.
But what will the future of the internet look like in 50 years? How will we solve the challenges that we are currently facing around privacy and data protection? Should we be hopeful—or fearful—for our changing digital world?
We asked these questions to a variety of experts, researchers, scientists, engineers, and futurists. The answers we got back were fascinating, clarifying, and somewhat scary.
In 2019, the Pew Research Center released its own data about the future of digital life after canvassing 530 experts. Lee Rainie, director of internet and tech research at Pew, was one of the co-authors of the study. He says that the answers were eye-opening in terms of how our digital presence will come to further define our existence. “[In their responses], they talked about what the definition of a human being, literally, will be once this technology is available for our bodies and brains.”
According to our experts, that will come sooner rather than later. Within only the next quarter century, the way we search or use the internet will be considered “archaically clunky,” writes Judith Donath, who is a researcher for the Berkman Klein Center at Harvard University and author of the 2014 book The Social Machine. Rather, our digital presence will not be separate from the physical world, but ingrained in it.
“Gone will be keyboards, the mouse, and screens,” continues Donath.
Toby Negrin, Wikimedia Foundation’s Chief Product Officer, compared the internet to electricity as it becomes an “omnipresent utility, something we expect to always be available and around us... intertwined in our daily lives.”
The world in front of us will be a mix of reality and the virtual and, at times, it will be impossible to decipher which one is which. Mike Liebhold—a senior researcher at the Institute of the Future and at Apple's Advanced Technology Lab in the 1980s—writes that, in the near future, everyone will wear augmented reality glasses and use them to interact with their environment. “Information will be displayed, floating in the air ... the web will appear in the real world, not just on glass screens.” READ MORE...
Friday, February 24
Russia in Drills with China and South Africa
Russia is set to begin conducting naval drills with China and South Africa on Friday in a trilateral display of international cooperation – and show off a powerful weapon.
The Admiral Gorshkov, a Russian frigate, arrived in Capetown, South Africa, this week ahead of the joint drills that will take place in South Africa's Indian Ocean.
RUSSIA-UKRAINE WAR: BELARUS WILL JOIN FIGHT IF EVEN 'ONE SOLDIER' ATTACKS TERRITORY, PRESIDENT SAYS
The Admiral Gorshkov is expected to test-fire a Zircon hypersonic missile – the first launch of its kind in an international exercise, state media outlet Tass reports. The Zircon hypersonic missile can penetrate any missile defenses to strike targets at sea and on land, Russia says.
The exercises are set to run for 10 days and will coincide through Feb. 24, the one-year anniversary of the invasion of Ukraine.
South Africa's decision to participate in the drills has sparked controversy, with the opposition party claiming it demonstrates approval of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. READ MORE...
15 Years of Magnolia Trees and their Blossoms
I planted them intentionally less than 10 feet apart because I wanted to them grow together and form a wall of sorts as they grew. The wall would block neighbors from the right looking us in and around our pool... but, more importantly, the idea was for these trees to bloom and form a wall of white flowers that my wife could look at because she has a passion for Magnolias.
Each of these trees also represented the 9 years we had been married, so there was a little symbolism there as well...
Our Magnolias are 15 years old and the wall has been formed and the flowers do bloom as expected. However, there are not as many blossoms as I had hoped for and while the trees grew tall they did not grow as wide as anticipated... but you cannot make nature always do your bidding.
What white blossoms we do have smell wonderful and my wife does enjoy looking at them... so the idea generally worked.
Anyway, it will always remind me of what I tried to do and why I tried to do it and for me that is all that matters.